When making decisions or thinking about the future, it is better to try and be directionally correct than try and be absolutely correct.
Trying to be directionally correct lowers your time preference and encourages you to play the long game.
It offers the opportunity to make pivots along the way and course-correct as you come into new information.
Trying to be directionally correct forces you to think in probabilities instead of in binary outcomes.
The future is uncertain — whether that is in financial markets, your professional life, or your personal life — and trying to predict it with 100% accuracy is a futile effort.
It is better to think in vectors and probabilities than to think in static points and binaries.
Thinking about the future in this way makes you malleable and antifragile; it prepares you for an unknown future.
Do not fixate on being absolutely correct; instead, try to be directionally correct and objectively take in new information as it is presented to you.